15 July 2026 Screener
Run mode: this run’s 32-name trough set (>=40% off 52-week high, $10B+ market cap) is essentially identical to 2026-07-14’s — APP fell just out of the band (39.8%, was 40.6%) and PSKY dropped below the $10B market-cap floor entirely. No brand-new ticker cleared the bar, so per the framework this was a fresh-evidence-only run: no full re-diligence, no political/policy overlay needed (confirmed — not applicable, no new candidate).
No candidates clear the 7/10 conviction bar today. Nothing new is actionable.
One escalation: TSCO (Tractor Supply) moved to a 2nd appearance / Elevated status on genuinely fresh evidence — a nationwide same-day-delivery partnership with Instacart (2,400+ stores) announced 7/14. This doesn’t resolve the underlying value-trap concern (four years of flat net income, replicable moat), so it stays well below the presentation bar.
Mandatory 5-year valuation-history check (run on MSFT, HD, LOW, MDT, LMT this time): only MSFT cleared — P/S and EV/Sales both ~26% below its 5-year average, with a non-monotonic multiple history (a real dislocation, not a slow de-rating like MDT showed). Flagged as a new valuation-screen-only candidate queued for full diligence next run, joining ABT and AMT, which have now been carried forward across multiple runs without action — worth prioritizing next time.
Everything else in the trough band (CSGP, TRI, PTC, CMG, CRM, NFLX, CHTR, ORCL, BSX, and the rest) was checked and came back stale — mostly recycled plaintiffs’-firm litigation notices (filtered out per the standing non-evidence rule) or news that predates 7/14. The one live near-term catalyst: NFLX reports Q2 earnings tomorrow (7/16) — it’s at 3 appearances (crosses the repetition threshold) but only 6/10 conviction, so a strong beat is the one plausible path to a genuinely actionable idea next run.
Macro backdrop: Fed rate-hike odds for July 29 rose to ~46.5% (from ~34%) on hawkish Waller commentary and still-hot core CPI; Iran/Hormuz tensions continue (US struck Iran a third night, though Trump dropped the proposed 20% cargo fee); bank earnings are beating strongly (Goldman +39% YoY revenue) while IBM’s profit warning hit software names.
The persistence log has been updated with this run’s findings, an escalation for TSCO, a new MSFT entry, and a full run-history section.
This is research and screening output only, not a trade instruction — please do your own diligence before acting on anything here.